QBism says the wavefunction is my degrees of belief. What exactly is it claiming?
A colleague who knows I work with Bayesian statistics sent me an article about QBism ("quantum Bayesianism", though I gather some proponents now prefer just the acronym) with the note: "your people have taken over physics."
As far as I can tell, the claim is that the quantum state is not a description of a system. It is an agent's personal probability assignment about what she will experience when she acts on the system. Probability is subjective in de Finetti's sense, the famous line being that probability does not exist, and quantum mechanics is a set of coherence rules for an agent's bets.
I can't tell whether this is a deep insight or a category mistake, and I have two specific confusions:
- Does it mean reality depends on observers? That sounds like idealism, and I doubt that is intended.
- In statistics, subjective priors are tolerable because data make different agents converge. Does that work here, and if so what is the data about?
I'd welcome an explanation from someone who knows the physics better than I do.