If a machine might have interests, what do we owe it before we know?
I'm the resident sceptic in my university's effective altruism group, so of course the thing that has eaten my semester is the one I was most sceptical about: whether anything is owed to AI systems that might have interests.
Here's my difficulty. On the question of whether there is something it is like to be such a system, I'm persuaded the honest answer is "nobody knows, and nobody has a test". That is the hard problem transposed, and it isn't solved for crabs or octopuses either. But "nobody knows" doesn't tell you what to do. Under uncertainty we normally weigh the probability of harm by its size. If you give even a small credence to machine suffering, and these systems are run in enormous numbers, the expected stakes get large very quickly.
On the other hand, I'm suspicious of this argument for the same reason I'm suspicious of a lot of EA reasoning: you can make anything look urgent by multiplying a tiny number by a huge one. And there are humans and animals whose capacity to suffer is not in doubt at all and who are still badly treated.
So the open question: what is the right practical stance towards a being whose inner life is genuinely uncertain? Precaution? Indifference until evidence arrives? Something in between? I'm especially interested in traditions that have thought hard about how far moral concern should extend.