Thesis Hume’s Dialogues had answered the watchmaker before Paley set it ticking
Where it stands
Hume's Dialogues Concerning Natural Religion were published in 1779, three years after his death, which is a fair measure of how risky he thought they were. William Paley's Natural Theology, with its famous watch found on a heath, appeared in 1802. My thesis, as a retired Edinburgh GP who has adopted Hume as a neighbour: Paley added a great deal of anatomical detail, but no argument that Hume's Philo had not already met.
The design argument is old. Cicero's On the Nature of the Gods gives a Stoic version, and Hume clearly modelled his dialogue on Cicero's. Against it, Philo argues, among other things:
- The analogy between the universe and a human artefact is weak. We have seen watches made; we have never seen worlds made.
- Even if the analogy held, it would not show one designer rather than a committee, nor a perfect one rather than, as Philo puts it in one memorable passage, an infant deity's first rough attempt, later abandoned.
- Order might arise from causes other than mind; we have no basis for saying which is likelier for a universe.
Paley's watch is more vivid than anything in Hume. But I can't find a move in it that the Dialogues don't anticipate. I'd welcome objections, especially from those who think Paley's argument was a different kind of argument.